Is #Buhari Making Appointments Based On Election Results?

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Buhari 1The political news that is now trending is Buhari and his 35 Federal appointee’s….

There have been several allegations that Buhari’s appointments so far have been heavily slanted towards the North. And this is actually true … of the 35 total appointments Buhari has made, only 8 have been from the South! And people in the opposition party have been quick to jump on this … take Femi Fani Kayode’s long-winded rant accusing Buhari of violating the nation’s Federal character law …

But then there have been several Nigerians who have leaped to the defense of Buhari with statements like “Federal Character is irrelevant as long as the job gets done” or “Buhari is not yet done with his appointments.”

But the statement that seemed the most interesting to me, was from the Chairman of the Northern Elders Council, Alhaji Tanko Yakassai. He said and I quote:

“If you look at the voting pattern, zone by zone, you will see that Buhari is compensating the zones that favored him.”

As an Engineer I was curious to know if this statement was true, so I set out to find out the answer using figures and raw data …

I looked at data from the March election results, pulling out the total number of votes for each of the 6 geo-political zones and converting them to percentages. I also did a similar thing with Buhari’s 35 appointments, placing them along the 6 geo-political zones and converting them to percentages as well. And the results were quite striking….

But before I go into the 6 individual geo-political zones, let’s look at the overall North versus South picture.

From the meat-pie charts below we can see a very direct direct (extra “direct” for emphasis) correlation to what Alhaji Tanko Yakassai alleged. In the March elections, 80% of Buhari’s total votes came from the North and currently 77% of his political appointments have come from the same North! An almost 1 to 1 correlation.

buhari graph 2

Now drilling into the data more and looking at the 6 geo-political zones (reference graph below) … we can still observe the same pattern especially in the North. Just like in the elections, the North-West zone has the highest number of appointments, followed by the North-East and North-Central zones.

The trend continues in the South, where the South-East region which was responsible for a paltry 1.3% of the total Buhari votes have so far received 0 political appointments. Although one can argue that Dr. Ibe Kachikwu a Delta-Igbo count’s as a South-East appointment even though he is technically from the South-South.

The only big discrepancy is in the South-South and South-West regions …

Despite only a 2.7% support for Buhari in the elections, the South-South zone has managed to rack up an impressive 14.3% of the appointments, more than 5 times their voting percentage. However the reverse has been the case for the South-West zone who with 15.8% of electoral support have managed to rack up only half of the appointments with only 8.6%!

Now, if appointment by vote was actually a legitimate practice then the South-West zone should feel the most upset, but thankfully appointment by vote is not.

But what does this all mean?

buhari graph 1

To be honest … nothing yet.

It is still too early to say that Buhari is making appointments to favor zones that supported him. Although the current results show this, it could definitely change as more appointments are announced. But for now it is easy to understand graphically why people are worried … especially given past Buhari precedence … cue 1984 …

“The ethnic and religious composition of Buhari’s Supreme Military Council (SMC) also concerned southerners. Although the SMC’s members was increased to 21, virtually all of its senior positions were held by northern Muslims. Only eight SMC members were from the south” – Excerpt Soldiers Of Fortune by Max Siollun

So as September approaches, Nigerians will be eagerly watching while people like me will be counting to see how the appointments align.

But the most important thing for Nigeria is that we are appointing the best of the best and not just appointing because we want to appease the Federal Character god. THE END.

NOTE: Once all the appointments are completed and finalized, I will update my charts and re-analyze the data for you.

twitterWritten by Okechukwu Ofili of
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Words by Okechukwu Ofili of
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13 comments on “Is #Buhari Making Appointments Based On Election Results?

  1. Ofili, I appreciate how you break these things down according to facts, logic and reasoning; not emotions. Thank you.

    I just wonder if the ‘best of the best’ is only from the North, that’s all. I suspect that a number of others will wonder the same.

    Let’s wait and see where all this takes us, I guess?
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  2. I look forward to the day when this Federal Character demigod would be laid to rest but until then it is imperative that the President gives every Nigerian a sense of belonging. Achieving the appointment balance is certainly possible in Nigeria simply because you can definitely find the “good guys” in every nook and cranny of the country. Just need to look hard enough. Good analysis as always, Ofili.

  3. Ofili, your 2 charts can be referred to as ‘Vote of Confidence’ Charts. One shows those who voted for Buhari because of their confidence in Him and the other shows Buhari’s appointment based on those He has confidence in to deliver or perform irrespective of their geopolitical zones.

    • Ofili

      … but is it not weird that his confidence selection coincidentally (almost 1 to 1) aligns with the voting pattern across the nation that favored him?

      • There’s nothing weird about it. You can’t surround yourself with people who don’t have trust in your leadership to carry out a ‘CHANGE’ agenda. I’ll like you to do same analysis of voters and appointments by the GEJ and PDP government in the last administration. We all knew GEJ had good intentions but surrounded himself with questionable characters. This is fair as far as I am concerned.

        • Ofili

          i see…so Presidents should start getting more people from their villages since they trust them more. I gotcha. I guess that was GEJ’s greatest mistake. #sarcasm

  4. Once again, you have given a fact based analysis! thanks. Personally, I just want the right people to be appointed. This Federal character nonsense has never helped us.

  5. princess on said:

    Quite an interesting analysis! Even though more appointments are to be given, the seemingly more important post have been given out.

      • Ministerial appointments are covered by the constitution and he can’t change that. So ministerial positions shouldn’t be part. Look at appointments he can do directly without clearly disobeying the consetitution

        • Ofili

          I see. I get your point.

          But that still cannot be discounted. If he appoints all Igbo’s as ministers or all Ffulani’s as ministers we would be having a discussion on Federal Character.

  6. princess on said:

    Quite an interesting analysis! Even though more appointments are to be given, the seemingly more important positions have been given out.

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